Silver-to-Gold Ratio to Reach 5:1

by Matt Y
(Ottawa, ON, Canada)

I believe the Silver-to-Gold Ratio will reach 5:1, then stabilize near 8:1 based on above and below ground reserves. It is both the shortage of silver (due to suppressed prices and the depletion of most above ground reserves) and the investment demand for hedging inflation that is driving up the price. Remember that as the price goes up, closed silver mines will resume and industrial demand will diminish...so it will reach an equilibrium. To measure silver prices in USD is near impossible because it depends on central bank policy and the amount of money being added to circulation. But I can pin it to gold, play out the ratio and guess how much money will be added to circulation in the future (which is exponentially growing). I can't see the US dollar surviving far beyond 2012. Also, I believe the silver bubble will end mid-2012. I will assume gold at that time reaches $2400 (simply based on inflation...exposure to gold price suppression could blow it higher) and a 5:1 ratio means $480 silver. Prior to this point I am selling the greater portion of my silver and transferring it into gold, countryside land, and if I have anything left it's going in Palladium. I believe the US will enter hyperinflation by the end of 2012 so I cannot measure the value of silver beyond this point. If you were to squeeze an answer out of me, I would say $200 trillion by mid-2013 : )

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